BlockBeats News, July 3rd, "The Big Short" prototype Michael Burry today stated that he had shorted Micron Technology at $1051.87 on Wednesday, once again attracting market attention. According to BlockBeats' data compiled based on SEC 13F public position direction, Michael Burry's 11 public bearish option positions in the past two years had a hit rate of approximately 82%. However, a closer look reveals extreme internal divergence: he successfully shorted a total of 8 positions in non-AI and Chinese concept stocks, with Alibaba, JD, and Pinduoduo contributing to the majority of the success rate. On the other hand, AI-related short positions had only a 1/3 success rate, with the most notable failures being NVIDIA's two unsuccessful short attempts: during the 2025 Q1 holding period, NVDA rose by 46%, and another 4% in Q3, becoming the core source of all failed cases. The PLTR short position disclosed in Q3 of 2025 barely hit the target with a 2.9% decline, resulting in an AI-related short success rate of only 33%.

The reason why the market generally feels that Michael Burry has been "inaccurate recently" is precisely because the most discussed topic is AI shorting behavior, as well as the new short positions on TSLA, AMAT, CAT, SOXX, and MU added in July 2026. The Chinese concept and non-AI positions that boost his overall success rate have very low media coverage, making them easy to be overlooked in the public's impression.

In addition, the 13F filings do not disclose option premiums, strike prices, and expiration dates, so hitting the target direction does not equate to actual profits. However, the data clearly shows that "The Big Short" Michael Burry's short judgment on Chinese concept stocks and traditional targets is much stronger than in the AI field.

Recently, Michael Burry further expanded his short positions in the AI sector, with targets including Tesla, Applied Materials, Caterpillar, and the semiconductor ETF SOXX. Burry stated that South Korea's recent announcement of an investment plan to build a large-scale chip industry cluster marks the "beginning of the end" of the AI boom, questioning whether the ongoing expansion of capital expenditure can bring corresponding returns. Burry also continues to maintain a bearish view on NVIDIA and has bet on a decline in SOXX through put options. He had previously predicted a significant pullback in NVIDIA and Palantir Technologies' stock prices in the coming years, believing that the current valuation of the AI sector carries a risk of a bubble.