Introduction: A Launchpad Landscape in Flux

The launchpad sector is undergoing its most competitive phase in years. Once dominated by a handful of entrenched platforms, the market has shifted into a fast-moving battlefield where Base and Solana ecosystems—alongside a wave of new entrants—compete to dominate token issuance.

This is no longer just about blockchain speed or transaction cost; it’s about capturing attention, liquidity, and the meme-fueled wealth effect. In early August, the contest saw Base, powered by Zora, briefly surpass Solana in daily token launches; Solana’s LetsBonk unseat the veteran Pump.fun before facing a swift counterattack; and new contender Bags make an eye-catching debut with a differentiated, social-first model.

Daily New Tokens Launched by PumpFun, Zora, LetsBONK and Bags

Like the “hundred group war” of early internet platforms, success in the launchpad scramble is measured in bursts of market share, rapid user adoption, and the ability to monetize hype without collapsing under it. CoinEx Research believes this environment demands a clear framework to separate fleeting momentum from platforms building long-term network effects. This article delivers that framework through an in-depth analysis of key platforms’ hype metrics, underlying mechanisms, and market sentiment—providing investors with a comprehensive and nuanced lens on the launchpad wars.

Zora's Base Blitz: A New SocialFi Paradigm

Igniting the Base Ecosystem

Zora’s integration into Base delivered one of the most dramatic spikes in launchpad history. For a brief period, Base’s daily new token count exceeded Solana’s, with Zora commanding up to 99% of Base’s memecoin launch activity post-integration into the “Base App.” Over a single weekend, more than 80,000 tokens were minted—almost double Solana’s total across its two largest platforms combined.

The appeal lay in Zora’s creator-centric SocialFi model: each user profile automatically receives a “Creator Coin,” and each piece of content becomes a “Content Coin,” tradable via Uniswap v4 bonding curves with enforced creator royalties. This automated tokenization lowered barriers to entry, igniting a wave of experimentation and speculation.

The Creator Coin Model and Speculative Undercurrents

However, there was a catch. While creation was cheap, each trade carried a 3% fee, meaning a round-trip trade cost 6%—an economic drag that discouraged long-term holding. The ultra-low cost to create tokens, combined with their interchangeable nature, led to rapid saturation. Average transaction sizes were small, and once speculative interest waned, volumes collapsed just as quickly as they had risen.

The $ZORA token itself mirrored this boom-bust dynamic. In terms of market capitalization (circulating supply × token price), it skyrocketed from $12M to $450M within a month. Over the past 30 days, the price delivered a ~10× gain. However, technical signals—such as the open interest-to-market cap ratio—suggest potential short-term volatility. For instance, on August 12, market cap edged lower even as open interest continued to climb, hinting at growing speculative pressure.Investors should keep in mind that while viral tokenization models can deliver ecosystem-level wins, sustainability requires more than hype and low mint costs.

LetsBonk's Solana Resurgence: The Community-Driven Launchpad

LetsBonk’s Challenge to Market Dominance

On Solana, the rise of LetsBonk was not an accident but the result of a deliberate tokenomics strategy. At its peak, the platform captured over 80% of the Solana launchpad market.

Its core advantage was a powerful revenue-to-burn loop: 50% of all platform fees were used to buy back and burn $BONK, with another 8% allocated to reserves and the BonkRewards program. This created sustained buy pressure and a deflationary narrative, directly aligning platform growth with token holder value.

The BONK Token and a Volatile Narrative

Equally important was the deep alignment between the team and its community. Known as one of the most “in-the-trenches” teams,LetsBonk implemented transparent on-chain buybacks for top meme tokens issued on the platform and active engagement to reinforce the idea of “shared prosperity.” When FUD hit, key community figures leveraged blockchain data to defend the project, reframing the narrative from “launchpad wars” to “BONK saving the trenches.”

However, even this well-built flywheel was not immune to market realities. Solana Launchpad activity declined ~40% from its February 2025 peak. Meanwhile, $BONK price—despite strong tokenomics—still moved in near lockstep with $PUMP, underscoring the interdependence of major launchpad assets. For investors, this highlights a structural risk: launchpad tokens, no matter how differentiated their models, remain tied to broader sector liquidity and sentiment.

Pump.fun’s Comeback – Liquidity as a Moat

The Comeback Story and Underlying Strength

After losing ground to LetsBONKfun in July, pump.fun mounted an impressive recovery in early August, reclaiming its lead in key metrics. On August 8, the platform facilitated over $31.83M in “graduation volume” (tokens that hit liquidity milestones), minted 21,505 new tokens—more than triple its rival’s—and generated $1.3M in daily revenue compared to LetsBONKfun’s $118K.

PumpFun, LetsBonk, Zora and Bags Daily Revenue

Beneath the headline numbers lay pump.fun’s real competitive advantage: depth of liquidity and network effects. With $4.55M active traders over 30 days, the platform’s entrenched user base provided resilience during downturns. Even after losing weekly revenue leadership in July, pump.fun maintained a staggering $20.72M in 30-day revenue.

The "Community Takeover" Strategy and PUMP Token's Struggle

The platform also began evolving its model in response to market demands for higher-quality projects. Its new “Community Takeover” (CTO) strategy spotlights tokens that survive initial developer sell-offs, providing them with additional curation, exposure, and community-driven liquidity pushes. This marked a pivot from a purely permissionless model toward selective amplification—a signal that the “Wild West” of launchpads is starting to mature.

However, the $PUMP token has lagged behind the platform’s operational performance. Despite a record $600M ICO, the token has fallen over ~50% from its peak, hurt by limited utility and early-seller pressure. Pump.fun is now accumulating fees for a buyback program and reportedly planning a rewards campaign to revive interest. For investors, the takeaway is clear: in launchpad tokens, platform health and token performance can diverge sharply, and deep liquidity can be a more reliable moat than short-term hype.

Source: CoinEx, Data as of Aug 15th 2025

Bags – The Social-First Dark Horse

Bags is a "social-first" platform that transforms token launches into a social experience, positioning itself as a "financial messenger" for traders. By blending group chats and social features, it aims to lower the barrier to entry and capitalize on viral memecoin dynamics.Despite being a newcomer, Bags has delivered impressive metrics, including over 6,000 token launches in a single day and a temporary position as Solana's third-highest revenue protocol.Its unique creator-royalty model further differentiates it and generates significant value for the community.

The platform's founders, with a background in viral apps, are focused on achieving "mainstream viral blockchain adoption" through a strong user experience. While this strategy shows the upside of a differentiated approach, Bags is not without risk. Potential insider wallet activity has been flagged, highlighting the due diligence required for investors in this high-velocity, lightly regulated environment.

Navigating the Launchpad Wars – Strategy & Risk Management

The Value and Risks of "Hotness"

The high churn of winners and losers in the launchpad space makes it tempting to chase whatever’s “hot.” For short-term traders, monitoring heat metrics—new token mints, on-chain trading volumes, sharp increases in trader P&L—is often the fastest way to identify a momentum play. When Bags’ daily trader profits broke $1M, or ZORA’s $ZORA token saw open interest spike over $100M in 24 hours, those were clear signals of an overheated trade, with both upside and liquidation risk.

However, heat fades quickly, and the “bagholder’s dilemma” sets in when capital rotates elsewhere. As the $BONK example showed, even the strongest community tokenomics can’t fully shield against whale dumps or macro sentiment shifts. The key for short-term speculators is disciplined entry and exit planning—treating these plays as momentum trades, not long-term holds, unless the fundamentals evolve to support it.

The Ecosystem is King for Long-Term Value

For long-term investors, short-term hype is often more distraction than opportunity. A more discerning strategy focuses on the underlying ecosystem and its fundamentals. Capital typically flows from major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum into altcoins and memes, and this rotation dictates the market’s overall risk appetite. Launchpad performance is highly correlated with these broader market cycles.

Sustainable value is not driven by fleeting viral success, but by core infrastructure and durable network effects. For long-term allocators, the focus should shift from “heat” to infrastructure. The most resilient launchpad tokens will be supported by:

A strong user base – e.g., Pump.fun’s 4.55M traders.
Clear token value capture – e.g., LetsBonk’s 58% revenue-to-buyback $BONK model.
Platform differentiation – e.g., Zora’s SocialFi creator economy or Bags’ social-first UX.
Institutional or ecosystem alignment – e.g., Base’s Coinbase backing or Solana’s entrenched DeFi/NFT integrations.

It’s also important to remember that competition extends beyond on-chain rivals. Centralized exchanges (CEXs) possess the liquidity, compliance infrastructure, and retail funnel to draw attention—and capital—back off-chain. This creates recurring liquidity drains for on-chain incumbents, influencing their long-term growth potential.

Conclusion: The Launchpad Battle Rages On 2025 Launchpad Outlook - Trade the Heat, Invest the Moat

The ongoing rivalry between ZORA, BONK, PUMP, and BAGS underscores a hard truth: viral growth alone is not enough. In the short run, attention, community energy, and innovative tokenomics can push a platform to the top of the charts. In the long run, lasting market share will belong to those who can transform speculative bursts into compounding network effects.

Zora showed how SocialFi tokenization can electrify a blockchain, but also how quickly saturation sets in. LetsBonk demonstrated the power of a revenue-to-burn flywheel for BONK, yet also the vulnerability to macro liquidity shifts. Pump.fun proved that liquidity depth and network effects can power a comeback even after losing market share. Bags revealed that UX innovation and social dynamics can open entirely new competitive angles—but also new risks. For investors, the roadmap is clear:

Trade the hype with precision; invest in the moat with conviction.
Distinguish short-term “heat” signals from long-term ecosystem signals.
Evaluate not just tokenomics, but also execution, team credibility, and platform positioning.

The launchpad wars are far from over. As new players enter and existing ones evolve, the winners will be those who can balance the memecoin-fueled attention game with robust, defensible infrastructure. At CoinEx Research, we believe understanding this balance will be key to navigating—and profiting from—the next phase of on-chain token issuance.

پیش‌بینی قیمت Pump.fun (PUMP) در سال‌های 2025، 2026-2030