CoinEx News: The U.S. and Iran are expected to sign a memorandum of understanding on June 19 after announcing a ceasefire, putting oil, inflation expectations and Fed pricing back at the center of crypto trading before the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. The MOU is expected to set the path for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, but markets still need confirmation on signing, mine-clearance and safe-passage arrangements, and a visible recovery in shipping flows. Any delay in implementation or renewed Israel-Hezbollah/Lebanon escalation could rebuild oil risk premiums after the latest pullback.

Crypto’s stabilization window now rests on three checks: oil relief from the Iran MOU process, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC press conference, and the BOJ’s June 15-16 decision and any yen-liquidity shock. A softer oil path and steady ETF demand would support BTC-led risk appetite, while a hawkish Fed signal, renewed yen funding stress, or weaker institutional flows could shift trading back toward inflation and liquidity pressure.