BlockBeats News, May 5th - In a new prediction event on the Forecast Market Predict.fun, the question "When will Polymarket launch its official token?" currently has a trading volume of $546.8 thousand. The probabilities are as follows: the probability that Polymarket will launch its official token by June 30, 2027, is currently at 88%; by March 31, 2027, it is at 77%; by December 31, 2026, it is at 55%; by September 30, 2026, it is at 39%; and by June 30, 2026, it is at 9%.

The settlement rules for this event are as follows: If Polymarket officially launches its official token by the date specified in the title (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the market will be judged as "Yes." Otherwise, the market will be judged as "No." Even if the token Polymarket releases initially lacks utility and is not explicitly labeled as a "governance" token, as long as it is promoted and presented as the official token of a Polymarket product, it is eligible. The token must be openly and actively transferable and tradable. Sole announcements do not meet the requirements, and tokens only available for claim do not qualify.

ERC-1155 or ERC-20 tokens representing CTF shares or other positions in the product's internal market, as well as any USD-pegged collateral tokens, are not considered for settlement. The source should be an official statement from Polymarket (including blog posts, social media channels, or documents). If necessary, credible third-party reports may also be referenced. In earlier news, Polymarket team member Mustafa (@mustafap0ly) hinted today during a community interaction that updates on the POLY token may be coming soon.