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Bridgewater's Ray Dalio on Decision-Making in the AI Era: Principle-Based Thinking Must Run in Parallel with AI, Human Insight Is Irreplaceable

BlockBeats News, June 14th - Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, published a lengthy article elaborating on his principled decision-making methodology in the age of artificial intelligence. Dalio pointed out that the investment field is a "zero-sum and additive game," where widely known information holds little value. Therefore, even the insights from the most advanced AI are not sufficient to blindly follow, as unique human understanding and insight remain irreplaceable. Bridgewater's core experience over 50 years has shown that decisions must be based on logical and understandable criteria, combining principled thinking with AI. Principled thinking is not based on gut feelings but on examining and systematizing decision criteria—deeply considering the context and causality, documenting the criteria, backtesting historical performance as much as possible, and then computerizing and automating them. The derivation of criteria should not rely on data mining or simple AI queries but should be based on logical understanding to transform into a decision system.

Dalio described this process as a "game" between humans and AI: the AI partner makes "moves" based on systematic criteria, while humans make "moves" based on their principles in mind. Both parties compare logic, engage in dialogue and debate, and eventually align thinking with decision rationale. The pursued principles must span time and geography, tracing back to ancient history and testing in various countries and environments to validate their universality; if they fail, a deep study is needed to correct causality. The entire system output always includes the reasoning process, ensuring clear and understandable logic, handling complex relationships faster and more unemotionally than the human brain. Dalio mentioned that he is currently applying this process to his family office to fully leverage emerging AI technology and plans to continue disseminating the methodology to the outside world. Dalio also warned the market that either they keep up with this frontier or risk losing competitiveness.

ソース:BlockBeats

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