暗号資産購入
マーケット
スポット
先物
金融
特別企画
さらに
reward-center新規登録ゾーン
ホーム速報詳細
Analysis: BTC Touches Key Support Level, Volatility Decreases but Defensive Positions Still Prevail
  • BTC0%
  • GAMMA0%

BlockBeats News, June 19th, glassnode reported that Bitcoin (BTC) fell back to a key support area after retesting the February low. Options market data shows that despite the price nearing a crucial level, the implied volatility has significantly dropped from recent highs, with the 1-week implied volatility decreasing from around 60% to 35%. The overall volatility curve has shifted down in sync, indicating a significant cooling in the market's pricing of future uncertainty. At the same time, the 25Δ skew has retreated from extreme levels seen during the June sell-off period, and short-term downside protection demand has normalized to some extent, showing a weakening in panic hedging sentiment.

However, structural defensive positions still dominate. Data shows that short-term options still lean towards downside protection, with bearish options trading volume accounting for about 28% in the past week, significantly higher than the long position buy ratio (24.1%). Meanwhile, the 1-month implied volatility has dropped below actual volatility, leading to a situation where the market experiences an "implied volatility underestimating actual volatility" scenario. A significant short Gamma concentration zone (approximately $1.8 billion in size) is present around $62,000, which could accelerate volatility amplification if the price further plummets, while a certain long Gamma buffer zone exists near $60,000. Overall, despite the cooling of volatility, the market remains in a predominantly defensive position structure.

ソース:BlockBeats

免責事項:現在のコンテンツは第三者の視点に基づくもの、または第三者の視点からAIが直接翻訳したものです。CoinExはコンテンツの信頼性、正確性、独創性を保証するものではなく、CoinExからの投資アドバイスを構成するものではありません。暗号資産の価格変動は急激に変動します。潜在的なリスクにご注意ください。

検索上位
  • コインリスト
    価格
    24時間価格変動