BlockBeats News, June 11th: Tomorrow morning, the 2026 FIFA World Cup will officially kick off. Undoubtedly, the World Cup, held every four years, is a major event for football fans. However, on the other hand, investors are also concerned that the World Cup will divert market attention, potentially having a negative impact on the investment market. BlockBeats has compiled historical data and summarized the performance of the U.S. stock market and Bitcoin during the World Cup as follows:

U.S. Stock Market: Over the past 40 years during the World Cup, the S&P 500 has recorded 5 increases and 5 decreases, with an average return of approximately -0.18% and a median return of about +0.30%. Overall, there is no significant "World Cup Curse," but the volatility significantly decreases. In 1998, the stock market was in a strong period, with the highest increase during the matches; in 2002, during the burst of the dot-com bubble and the earnings trust crisis, the market saw the largest decline; and in 2022, the market was affected by the Fed's interest rate hikes, inflation, and recession expectations.

Bitcoin: The overall performance during past World Cups has been weak, especially during the 2014, 2018, and 2022 World Cups, where prices mostly experienced a downtrend or weak consolidation, showing a clear "World Cup Curse" effect. 2014, 2018, and 2022 were all bear market years for Bitcoin, coinciding with the World Cup, leading to notably weak Bitcoin performance, with Bitcoin experiencing a maximum drawdown of about 15% in 2018.